This chart shows Monday’s close as this week’s close. The cross will be more impressive if it does hold through Friday’s close.
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Blog Post: Day 31 of $QQQ short term down-trend and GMI=GMI2=0; I have been warning you since February 4 that cash was king; And this may still be just the beginning of a major decline. See modified daily Guppy charts of QQQ, SPY, DIA, IWM.
I publish this blog to just share with readers what I am doing. I have managed to avoid all major declines since 2000. I would tell my students that if they were crossing the street and saw a car coming towards them at full speed, they should not argue with the truck or assume the driver will stop. They should get the hell out of the way. That is what we have to do with the market. When my indicators turn down, I get out and wait for things to turn up. All my indicators are now negative but the 30 week average has yet to turn down. That will signal to me the BEGINNING of a Stage 4 decline and has in the past led me to exit safely before major market declines. I am deeply saddened for persons, especially retiring boomers, who are seeing their hard earned savings evaporate.
The major indexes are in daily BWR down-trends. A picture is worth a thousand words.
Blog Post: Day 24 of $QQQ short term down-trend; $SPY and $DIA join $QQQ in daily BWR down-trends. Staying long now is fighting the market’s trend. See also what a daily RWB up-trend looked like for $QQQ that began in May, 2025. That is the pattern to be long.
When the shorter averages (red) decline below the longer term averages (blue) leaving a white space between them, it is a daily BWR down-trend. I will not hold long positions except money market funds or treasury ETFs (TBIL). Dotted line shows daily closes. This is my modified Guppy chart based on Daryl Guppy’s GMMA indicator. Guppy’s book is listed on this blog.
Note what a daily RWB up-trend looked like beginning last May. Ignore the news and opinions and let the market guide our trading.
