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Rather than trying to predict the minority of individual stocks that will beat TQQQ, the needle in the haystack, why not buy the haystack? See Les Masonson’s excellent new book about TQQQ. Find his book listed in this blog page. These 15 stocks did better than TQQQ. MU did best with a gain of 110.36%. Almost one half (7) were semiconductor companies. Did you buy them on Day 1 on 8/25?  Buying TQQQ on Day 1 is easier, but scary. You are buying at the beginning of a new up-trend, which you may not trust. I have replicated this analysis many times over the years with the same results.

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If 10 week fails to hold (blue dots) , the next major support is the 30 wk average (solid red line) and/or prior green line. A failure to hold the 10 week will be a major sign of weakness. My trading accounts are in cash with a little position in SQQQ. If the QQQ short term up-trend ends next week I will accumulate SQQQ. The growing number of daily new lows and the many failures of leading tech stocks to rally off of good earnings were major signs of weakness. No one knows when and where this decline will end. We must contain losses. Tonight’s  GMI will be 3 or less.

A green line is drawn on a monthly chart at the highest price bar (ATH) that is not exceeded for at least 3 months (bars). It shows a stock strong enough to reach an ATH that then rests for at least 3 months. When it breaks out to a new ATH (green line breakout, GLB) it can signal the beginning of a major move. A stock that reached an ATH and then declines so a new green line can be drawn needs to overcome all of the sellers who  bought at higher prices (equals overhead supply).  It may never do so. It therefore is a sign of strength when a stock can have a GLB to a new ATH. See the successful GLB tracker on this blog for a few examples of stocks that rose after a GLB.