18th day of $QQQ short term up-tend; waiting for July, $AMBA shines

GMI4/6
GMI-24/9
T210835%

While the longer term up-trend remains intact, I have reduced my long positions in my active trading accounts. My longer term university pension accounts remain invested long in mutual funds. I am still expecting some weakness in June while we wait for the release of second quarter earnings in July.

On the other hand, IBD says the put/call ratio reached over 1 on Thursday, indicating a lot of bearish option trades and a place where the averages tend to bounce up. Maybe Thursday’s decline was over-done. AMBA sure held up, showing that people are still following good earnings news.

AMBA06042015

17th day of $QQQ short term up-trend; interest rates spike

GMI6/6
GMI-26/9
T210844%

I do not like the weakening in the bonds. TLT is the ETF for the 20 yr Treasury bonds. The RWB up-trend is over and the shorter averages (red) are moving below the longer term averages. As TLT declines, interest rates rise.

TLTGMMA06032015The last time we got an interest rate hike scare was 2013.

TLTGMMA2013The market did not tank, but it may this time. Since 2nd quarter earnings are now released, I suspect we will get a lull   with a weak market until July and earnings come again. I have taken a lot of money off of the table….