Blog post: GLB (green line break-out) explained; Some stocks having a GLB last week: $MEC $OMP $TGLS $FLNG $CUBI

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One of the most important innovations I developed was the GLB or green line break-out. I like to buy stocks that have advanced to an all-time-high (ATH), consolidated for at least 3 months, and then break out to close at a new ATH. I use TC2000 to draw in the green line on a monthly chart at an ATH and alert me the moment the stock trades above the line. A green line can only be drawn after 3 months (3 monthly bars) have passed since a peak price bar that has not been surpassed (see monthly chart below). I make an exception for recent IPOs when the green line may be drawn after consolidating a few weeks after reaching a peak ATH.

Last December, I posted a weekly chart showing that PGNY had had a GLB at 36.50 and a weekly green bar (WGB). PGNY closed Friday at $64.04,  75% above its GLB.

Here is its monthly chart showing where the green line was drawn.

 

If I buy a stock after a GLB I sell it immediately  if it closes back below its green line. A failed set-up on which I base my purchase must always be sold. It is preferable for the GLB to occur on above average weekly trading volume. This weekend I identified a few stocks that have met the above criteria last week or a few weeks before. Here are their charts.

It is impossible to tell if any of these stocks’ GLB will fail or if it will rocket higher. I did look up their fundamentals on MarketSmith.  Their IBD Composite scores are MEC (78) OMP (94) TGLS (99) FLNG (98) CUBI (99). All have floats of <30 million shares.

The GMI is 6 (of 6), flashed a Green signal, and the new QQQ short term up-trend has now reached 3 days (U-3). I have begun to purchase TQQQ, the 3X leveraged bullish ETF for QQQ. If this up-trend persists I believe this is where I will likely make the most $$$$. Note that QQQ has now closed back above its 10 week average while SPY has closed above its 10 week average for 17 straight weeks.

 

Blog post: 13th day of $QQQ short term down-trend; Revised OSB (oversold bounce) scan yields $GS and $BGFV

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I revised my OSB scan. It detects stocks near a recent ATH that have bounced from an over-sold level. Here are two I think are promising as long as the bounce lows hold. Note the black and green dot signals. Did you know that GS has a PE=8!!! And GS has an IBD comp rating=98.

 

The GMI remains on a Red signal. Even though SPY and DIA are doing well, QQQ is weak. This is a very difficult time to be in the market profitably. Much easier to trade growth stocks when the GMI is Green and consistently  registering 5 or 6.

Blog post: GMI rebounds to 4 and could turn Green on Monday; However, $QQQ closed below its 10 week average. Critical week coming; $CROX $YETI $PLBY have black dots signaling OSBs

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A large number of stocks had an OSB (oversold bounce) on Friday, 56/602 IBD/MarketSmith type growth stocks and 166/6222 of all US stocks. So did DIA and SPY. It remains to be seen whether these bounces will hold. Here are a few examples. Note the black dots indicating an OSB. They all recently traded at ATHs (all-time highs).

The GMI rose to 4 and could turn Green if it closes above 3 on Monday. The key is to wait until it happens and to resist acting in advance of the signal,  which may not come. The QQQ completed its 8th day (D-8) of its short term down-trend.