Blog Post: Day 19 of $QQQ short term down-trend; With my GMI=0 (of 6), there is no reason for me to be investing long; I found only 2 US stocks of 6,000 at an ATH on Friday; the odds are against my going long; and small stocks, $IWM, look on verge of Stage 4 decline, see weekly chart

GMI0/6
GMI-22/9
T210824%

When the 30 week average curves down, it means the current week’s close just added  is less then its close 31 weeks earlier that has just been dropped from the average. Think of it, IWM is now lower than it was 31 weeks ago! For me this pattern is the kiss of death that got me to exit stocks before the major declines in 2000 and 2008.  Last week, IWM rebounded to kiss its 4 wk average (red dotted line). Let’s see if it can close back above it this week. That would be a sign of strength. If not, there is an inverse ETF for IWM, TWM, but I must be nimble. if I should nibble.

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What a weak market! When the Worden  indicator, T2108, now 24%, falls below 10%, I might nibble at a little SPY, but not individual stocks, some of which may not come back..

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Blog Post: Day 18 of $QQQ short term down-trend; Two exchange stocks, $ICE and $CME have been reaching ATHs after their GLBs, see adapted daily Guppy and monthly charts.

GMI1/6
GMI-23/9
T210828%

It is noteworthy when two stocks in a similar industry are zooming to ATHs in a weak market. Note their green lines and that they each closed (dotted line) above all 12 averages, in RWB up-trends. Note earnings release dates on each chart, 4/23 and 5/1. Check them out, and monthly charts below.

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And monthly charts.

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Blog Post: Day 17 of $QQQ short term down-trend; More US new highs than lows for last 3 days in this bounce; Major indexes converging with their declining 4 wk averages, thus less oversold; see weekly chart of SPY and daily Guppy chart

GMI1/6
GMI-23/9
T210829%

I told you that when a declining stock has its weekly high far below its declining 4 wk avg (red dotted line) the stock usually converges back with the average. That is happening thise week with the major indexes. See oval in this chart of SPY. It is likely that once the two kiss, the decline could resume. The 4 wk average declining below the 30 week average (red solid ine)  is another major sign of technucal weakness. The daily adapted Guppy chart reveals a steep  BWR down-trend.

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