Dow “bottom rally” puny thus far!; IBD100 and other growth stocks at new highs; I’m bullish for now

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A lot of stocks are beginning to look good.   However, there were only 6 new highs and 8 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Friday.   Two of the 6 new highs are stocks on the IBD100 list,   CPSI and TNDM.   TNDM is at an all-time high and both of these stocks came public within the past 8 years, a prime criterion of past winning stocks, according to IBD founder William O’Neil.       I scanned my universe and found 105 stocks that are within 10% of their 52 week highs and that have promising technicals.   Among these stocks that   are on my IBD100 lists from the past year and that also have last quarterly earnings up 50% or more are:   AIPC, GMCR, ALGT, QSII, SXL, JJSF, NFLX and PNRA.   I own some of these stocks…

The GMI remains at 4 and the GMI-R is at 7.   The IBD Mutual Fund Index is above its 50 day average, indicating to me that growth mutual funds are starting to make money. When these fund managers can make money buying growth stocks, so can I. The Worden T 2108 is now at 84%, heading towards overbought territory, but not a concern to me, given that the market is snapping back from very over-sold readings.   Both the QQQQ and SPY have closed above their 10 week averages for several weeks, a key sign of technical strength. While still in longer term down-trends, when these ETF’s are above their 10 week averages, I have usually been able to make money buying stocks.  

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Tech rally looks real; Daily Guppy chart looks good

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My indicators keep getting stronger.   The GMI is 4 for the first time since August 20, 2008.   There were more new highs than lows (22 vs. 6) in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Thursday.   The Worden T2108 indicator is at 83%, the highest reading since 89% on January 6.   This is typically an over-bought reading, but in July, 2003 when the market began the new bull market after the preceding bear market, the T2108 reached 93% as the new bull market got going.   Thus, the current high reading may represent the burst of buying after a long bear market.   Finally, the daily Guppy chart of the QQQQ suggests the beginning of a new up-trend.  

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QQQQ counter-trend rally completes 11th day; Apple of my I-phone?

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While the Nasdaq 100 tech rally completed its 11th day, the rise has failed to produce many new highs.   There were 8 new highs and 20 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Wednesday.   71% of the NYSE stocks closed above their 40 day averages, reflecting the strong   but not severely overbought reading in the T2108 indicator.

Four of the 8 stocks at new highs are on my IBD100 lists:   SNDA, MNRO, AZO and ROH.   MNRO has a strong chart, rising on large volume.   Both AZO and MNRO are in the auto parts/repair business.   During a recession, people keep their old cars longer and must eventually repair them.

I remain cautious and largely in cash.   I maintain small long positions in QLD (the ultra long QQQQ ETF), AMZN, NFLX, AAPL and GMCR.   My sons tell me the new iphone release this summer will be extraordinary.   This anticipated   development may be why AAPL is holding up pretty well lately.