6th day of QQQ short term down-trend, still in a Stage 2 longer term up-trend

GMI1/6
GMI-21/9
T210837%

I wrote a few days ago that the market always comes down faster than it goes up. Hence the current sharp decline after many months of an advance. It is nice to be short or in cash in my trading accounts and watching from the sidelines. Unfortunately, I am still invested in mutual funds in my university pension. I will only exit them when it looks like a longer term Stage 4 decline. This weekly chart of the QQQ shows it to remain in a Stage 2 up-trend, well above its rising 30 week average (solid red line).

GMIweekly02032014

I expect a bottom when the Worden T2108 falls below 20%.   It is currently at 37%.

5th day of QQQ short term down-trend; GMI flashes Sell signal

GMI2/6
GMI-24/9
T210848%

Since 2006, 76% of the QQQ short term down-trends that lasted 5 days, eventually lasted for 11 days or more. I am therefore content to remain mainly in cash with a small position in SQQQ.   SQQQ is an inverse ETF which is designed to rise 3X as much as QQQ falls. The Dow 30 stocks are much weaker than the Nasdaq 100 or S&P500 stocks. One half of the Dow stocks are below their critical 30 week averages, compared with about one third of the stocks in these other indexes.

The GMI flashed a Sell signal as of the close on 1/27 and registers 2 (of 6).

GMI01312014