GMI: 0; GMI-R: 0; GMI performance since April

The GMI and GMI-R remain at zero. GMI0905

There were 12 new highs and 328 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Friday.  This number compares with 988 new lows on July 15.  So this decline is not nearly as severe as last July's, thus far. Friday was the fourth day of the current new QQQQ short term down-trend.  Note that the Worden T2108 indicator is now at 42%, in neutral territory far above the extreme lows (below 20%) reached at prior market bottoms.

I have written before that the GMI indicators have helped me to be out of the market or to be mainly in cash during all significant market declines. Perfgmi0905

  This chart shows how the GMI has tracked the QQQQ since April 17.  It shows only changes in the GMI.  Note that during rises in the QQQQ, the GMI is usually at 4 or above.  When the GMI is below 3, I tend to get defensive.  Note that the GMI held at zero through most of July.  It then rose with the August rally and then fell quickly to 3, to 1 and now, to zero.  This ability of the GMI to track the ups and downs of the QQQQ was also evident in prior time periods.  While not perfect, I rely on the GMI to guide me when to enter and exit growth stocks, as reflected in the QQQQ (Nasdaq 100 index) ETF. Meanwhile, during the past 2 years, 5 consecutive daily declines in the QQQQ is extremely rare and we should expect a bounce on Monday.

GMI: 0; GMI-R: 0 3rd day of QQQQ down-trend; GMI gets me out again

The General Market Indexes, GMI and GMI-R are both zero for the first time since the August 4 lows.  There were only 15 new highs and 264 new lows in my universe of 4,000  stocks on Thursday.  Thursday is the 3rd day since I identified the new QQQQ down-trend.  The GMI indexes once again got me out of the market at the beginning of a decline.  It is now time to be short the QQQQ  by being in  QID  or in cash.  I never fight the market trend.

GMI: 1; GMI-R: 1; 2nd day of QQQQ down-trend

The GMI and GMI-R are both 1.  There were 53 new highs and 123 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Wednesday.  I do not hold long positions during a QQQQ down-trend.  I do not fight the market trend.  The odds of success always increase when one trades consistent with the general market trend. Only 37% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks are now above their 30 day average.