Dr. Wish

The  GMI and GMI-R remain at 1.  There were  33 new highs and  184 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Thursday.  Only 21% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks closed above their 30 day averages.  This is not the time to be brave.  I must follow the trend of the markets, which is down.  When the major popular growth stocks

(AAPL, RIMM, ISRG, BIDU) begin to crack, the rest of the market will

likely follow.  Why swim against the tide?  I am mainly in cash but also own July call options on QID.  The QID is designed to rise twice as much as the QQQQ declines.  I am therefore betting that the QQQQ is headed down, at least near term. 

The GMI and GMI-R are now each 1, indicating a very weak market.  The Worden T2108 indicator is now at 27%, still above the level at which bottoms typically occur.   There were  35 new highs and 276 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Wednesday.  Wednesday was the 2nd day of the new QQQQ down-trend.  I am in cash and in QID.

The GMI is now 2 and the GMI-R is 3.  The QQQQ has now met my criteria for a short term down-trend.  I am mainly in cash.