GMI:5; QQQQ stalled

The GMI is still 5.  My indicators are resting on support and could go either way.  Gmi0130_1 The 10, 30 and 50 day averages for the QQQQ are almost identical, indicating little change over these time periods.  From 11/22 through Tuesday’s close, the QQQQ has declined 2.46%, and in that time only 36% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks have risen more than 1%.  We should not bet against the market trend!  When the index breaks from this long plateau, it will probably be a large move.  Tuesday was the 4th day in the current QQQQ down-trend.

See my disclaimers at the bottom of my prior post.

GMI: 5; GMI-S: 56; Nibbling at QID again

The GMI remains at 5, and the GMI-S rose to 56 because of the strength in the small-cap index ETF (IJR).  Gmi0126_1 There were 115 new 52 week highs in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Friday.  43% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks rose on Friday, along with 49% of the S&P 500 stocks but only 27% of the Dow 30 stocks.  Only 42% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks closed above their 30 day averages, down from 77% on January 12. Friday was the 2nd day in the QQQQ down-trend.  With the leaders, RIMM and AAPL, looking weak and toppy, this market may be getting ready to roll over. I am beginning to nibble again on the inverse ultra short QQQQ ETF, QID.

Please note my disclaimers at the end of my prior post.