GMI: 6; Ominous signs; IBD 100 stocks underperforming

The GMI is back to 6, but be careful.  Only 18% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks rose on Thursday, along with 37% of the S&P 500 and Dow 30 stocks.  Gmi0118_2 There were 182 new 52 week highs in my universe of 4,000 stocks.  And Thursday was the 7th day in the current QQQQ up-trend.  But when IBM, MER and AAPL announce good earnings and their stocks weaken, it is an ominous sign.  The GMI-S fell 19, to 69.  None of my 4 short term indicators for the small cap stocks (IJR) are positive.  The IBD 100 type of growth stocks are also underperforming; only 13% of the list from 12/18 rose on Thursday and only 42% closed above their price on 12/18.

I was stopped out of QLD and ATHR today.  I will consider buying the ultra inverse ETF for shorting the QQQQ (QID) if the GMI weakens.  Right now this market looks sick, although the trend has not turned down yet.  See my disclaimers on my prior post. 

GMI: 5; AAPL and GOOG weak

The GMI fell to 5 on Wednesday.  Gmi0117 Only 39% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks rose, compared with 50-53% of the S&P 500 and Dow 30 stocks.  Thursday was the sixth day of the current QQQQ up-trend.  Both AAPL and GOOG have been weak, not a good sign.  But the trend of the QQQQ stocks remains up for now.

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GMI: 6; GMI-S: 88; 75% cash

The GMI is still at 6 and the GMI-S rose to 88.  Gmi0116_3 All of my short term indicators for DIA, QQQQ and SPY are positive. Tuesday was the 5th day in the current QQQQ up-trend. I hold only long positions and am about 75% cash as I wait to see if this up-trend continues. See disclaimers at the bottom of my prior post.