Blog Post: Day 1 of new $QQQ short term down-trend, but QQQ has black dot and finds support at 15.2 daily lower Bollinger Band and key averages; it must hold last week’s low of 435.11, see daily chart


While a new QQQ short term down-trend began on Friday, many end within 5 days. The fact that QQQ held its lower Bollinger Band, its 50 day and 10 week averages and had a black dot oversold bounce suggests that this bounce may hold. The key is to hold last week’s low. One thing going for the market is that first quarter earnings come out soon. However, now we are getting close to the “Sell in May and go away and comeback at Halloween” period. I am very defensive,  holding mainly cash in my trading IRA and am waiting for Mr/Ms Market to define itself. If QQQ bounces, it may find resistance at the upper BB, around 449. If the Fed decides not to lower rates this year, the market could dive.

The GMI is now at 4 (of 6) but it is still on a Green signal.

Blog Post: Day 60 of $QQQ short term up-trend, may end Friday; GMI falls to 4, $QQQ closes below 10 week average for first time since last October, see weekly chart


A lot of technical damge was done on Thursday. Friday’s reaction to the jobs report should determine whether this decline will broaden. 10 week average is the blue dotted line. Support for the longer term up-trend is the 30 week average (red solid line).