GMI: 6; GMI-R: 10; but a lot of new lows, especially among apparel stocks

The GMI returned to 6 and the GMI-R to 10, both are maximum readings. The rise in these indexes was caused by an increase in new highs on Wednesday, to 178 out of the 4,000 stocks in my universe. I am somewhat concerned, however, by the rise in new lows to 131, the highest number since the August market decline.  I examined the new lows and found that the industry with the most new lows (10) was apparel stores.  Stocks like JWN, GYMB, DSW, PSS, CHS and FL all hit new lows and appear to be in steady down-trends.  These stocks may be forecasting some type of decline in consumer spending. I am looking forward to option expiration on Friday.

GMI: 5; GMI-R: 8; QQQQ remains strong

The GMI fell one to 5, as there were only 97 new highs on Tuesday in my universe of 4,000 stocks.  The GMI-R fell to 8, losing an additional point because there were more new lows than highs (98 vs. 97).  The GMI-S has weakened to 63% because of short term weakness in the DIA, SPY and IJR.  All of the short term indicators for the QQQQ remain positive. 

GMI: 6; GMI Revised; EDU – another one of Judy’s picks

The GMI is still at a maximum reading of 6, and the number of new highs in my universe of 4,000 stocks rose to 216 on Monday. Monday was the 32nd day in the current QQQQ short term up-trend. Gmi1015 Note that the Worden T2108 indicator has now declined to 67%, down from a high of 82% on October 5.  (Click on the table to enlarge.)

After much thought, I have revised the GMI by adding 4 new indicators, signified by an "*". The GMI-R  ranges from 0-10 and may provide a more sensitive measure of the trend of the general market.  For the time being, I will post the original GMI and the revised GMI-R in the table for the benefit of readers who use the original index…….

Weeks ago, my talented stock picking friend, Judy, urged me to buy EDU.  Her research indicated it was the "Kaplan" of China, helping the Chinese population to excel in prep-type exams to progress to higher educational levels . Edu She bought the stock in early July and August in the low to mid 50’s. Well, I told her Sunday night that I would not write about EDU then because earnings were expected Monday.  So, earnings came out and the stock shot up 12.56% on Monday in a sloppy market. (Click on chart to enlarge.)  I need to follow Judy’s advice much more often and post more of her picks.

See my disclaimers at the bottom of the prior post.