The GMI and GMI-R are both back to zero. There were 26 new highs and 78 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Monday. The Worden T2108 indicator is back to 23%. All of these readings are far above the lows hit earlier this month. For example, on July 15, there were 988 new lows. So, in spite of the media’s pronouncements and hyperbole, the decline the past few days is shallow and no where near as extreme as earlier in the month. Time will tell…….
Dr. Wish
GMI: 0; GMI-R: 1; 32nd day of down-trend; up-trend coming?
The GMI remains at zero but the GMI-R rose to one. There were only 45 new highs and 63 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Friday.
(Click on table to enlarge.) The market is marking time as it determines the next move. The Worden T2108 indicator is now at 27%, in neutral territory. Only 18% of the stocks on the IBD100 list published on June 2 closed Friday above their price on that date. It has clearly been difficult to make money holding IBD type growth stocks during this down-trend. The QQQQ down-trend is in its 32nd day. The prior down-trend that ended in March lasted 55 days and was followed by an up-trend that ended in June after 54 days. So, this down-trend is somewhat young in comparison with the duration of recent market short term trends….
We are approaching an important critical point. The QQQQ closed at 45.27. If it can close above 45.91, I will begin to consider a change in the short term trend from down to up. With the QQQQ MACD,12,30,9 above its signal line, there is a reasonable chance that the QQQQ is about to turn up. 72% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks closed Friday above their signal lines. Nevertheless, the challenge is not to anticipate a turn, but to wait until it has occurred. The QQQQ might also bounce back down against resistance around 45.91.
GMI: 0; GMI-R: 0; 31st day of QQQQ down-trend
The GMI and GMI-R are both back to zero. There were 44 new highs and 72 new lows in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Thursday. Thursday was the 31st day of the current QQQQ down-trend.