New $QQQ short term down-trend; skeptical of any rebound

GMI1/6
GMI-20/9
T210824%

IBD switches back to calling the market in a correction. The GMI, however, has remained on a steady Sell signal since December 10 and was not fooled by the end of year volatility. Monday’s action created a huge gap down with the index trading below its lower Bollinger Band. The market closed near its high for the day and the retracement has likely begun. I suspect the market may move up and fill the gap, but I remain skeptical of any near term rally. A lot of technical damage has been done to this market and the market leaders have been wounded. It felt great to watch this decline from the sidelines, in cash.

QQQ01042016

New $QQQ short term up-trend; Happy New Year

GMI3/6
GMI-27/9
T210835%

The GMI remains on a Sell signal but my QQQ short term trend count has turned up. I do not trust a change in trend until it reaches the 5th day. The QQQ met resistance around 114, as I suspected it might. The market indexes are moving around flat moving averages and are subject to whip-saws until a new trend develops. Next year things will become more clear. Until then, I wish a Happy New Year to all of my guests.