IBD 100 list top ten stocks do outperform!

GMI5/6
GMI-R9/10
T210881%

From time to time I attend stock meet-ups and listen to members opine about how useless the IBD 100 lists are.   People just like to denigrate things without examining the evidence and these untruths tend to get passed on unchallenged.   Each Monday, IBD publishes a list   of the top 100 growth stocks that meet their technical and fundamental criteria.   I feel a lot more confident buying stocks on this list because IBD’s stock selection criteria are based on analyses of their comprehensive database of the best stocks over the past 100 years.   Imagine that–they actually analyzed the characteristics of past market winners to design an empirically based system for selecting winners BEFORE they take off.   Because human trading psychology is pretty stable, one can discern lasting technical   patterns (which are really trading decisions)   that are characteristic of winning stocks.

So, one of the exclamations that I have heard from   self-proclaimed experts is that by the time that a stock gets to the top of the IBD 100 list, it is too late to trade it for a profit.   The table below shows this assertion to be nonsense, at least   for the top ten stocks on the list published on

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Up-trend in place; Time to be long; 9 IBD100 stocks at new highs

GMI5/6
GMI-R9/10
T210888%

The market up-trend is in place and I am almost 100% invested on the long side in my trading IRA.   I am also largely invested in mutual funds in   my university pension. This is the time to ride the train and not to fight it.   No one knows when the up-trend will end.   The idea is to ride it and have sufficient stop losses in place to exit if the trend should convincingly reverse. The GMI is at 5 of 6, having been at 6 at Thursday’s close.   There were less than 100 new highs (74) in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Friday, bringing it down to 5.   I suspect we will be back to 6 this week.   Meanwhile, 84% of the Nasdaq 100 stocks had their MACD close above its signal line, a nice show of strength.   The Worden T2108 Indicator is at 88%, near the top of the range it typically reaches.   But it can stay above 80% for months.

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Short term down-trend continues, mainly in cash; New edition of O’Neil classic

GMI1/6
GMI-R1/10
T210829%

There were 32 new lows on Friday in my universe of 4,000 stocks, the largest number since March 12th!   There were only 9 new highs.   Friday was the 5th day of the new QQQQ short term down-trend.   Why try to fight the down-trend when one can sit calmly on the sidelines?   The major positive I still see is that the longer term   averages I follow are still curving up.   If they should be violated on the down side, I will even go to cash again in my university pension.   I remain only 15% invested there.   Meanwhile, The GMI

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